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Red129
467434.4
298732.3
288340.0
Blue136
957634.0
614642.5
265428.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114108050150200250129136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#23
65Coral points83
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
89Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#7
3L3#9
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
129Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.7
39.340.0
Auto8.2
Teleop27.4
End4.3
blue by 2.4
42.51.1
40.941.9
Auto5.6
Teleop32.5
End4.4
Second
4674
#18
34.40.5
33.834.4
Auto4.9
Teleop21.6
End7.8
red by 0.4
9576
#16
34.01.1
32.433.4
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End2.4
Third
2987
#21
32.30.7
31.632.3
Auto5.2
Teleop25.1
End2.0
red by 4.3
2654
#39
28.00.8
26.827.6
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End5.7