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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221223100150200250300350207233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+10Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
9Coral scored#12
45Coral points58
54Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +14
28Coral scored#24
101Coral points85
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
137Total teleop123
Reef
15L4#17
6L3#6
8L2#8
8L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points16
207Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.70.1
91.891.7
Auto21.8
Teleop59.7
End10.2
red by 11.9
190
#8
79.80.1
79.779.8
Auto21.8
Teleop49.0
End9.0
Second
76.40.1
76.476.4
Auto21.5
Teleop45.8
End9.1
red by 2.3
74.10.1
74.074.1
Auto15.8
Teleop49.2
End9.0
Third
3182
#31
39.80.1
39.939.8
Auto5.8
Teleop26.5
End7.4
blue by 16.3
7153
#33
56.00.1
55.956.0
Auto13.2
Teleop36.2
End6.6