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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235179100150200250300202167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave9
7Coral scored#8
37Coral points42
46Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +30
27Coral scored#19
98Coral points70
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
18Processor points12
24Net points28
42Algae points40
140Total teleop110
Reef
15L4#9
8L3#6
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#36
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
202Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
81.00.2
80.580.3
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
red by 9.7
176
#7
71.30.2
71.371.1
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
Second
76.60.2
76.175.9
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
red by 20.9
5000
#24
55.80.2
55.755.6
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
Third
5142
#18
56.90.2
56.456.2
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 9.1
177
#36
47.80.2
47.747.5
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0