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Red245
14879.1
304464.8
449979.8
Blue237
42295.7
171055.4
242951.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232216150200250300245237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +3
23Coral scored#33
81Coral points118
6Processor algae#5
12Net algae#5
36Processor points30
48Net points20
84Algae points50
165Total teleop168
Reef
15L4#14
8L3#12
5L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#48
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
245Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#29
79.81.2
77.078.3
Auto20.6
Teleop48.0
End11.2
blue by 16.0
422
#4
95.71.6
95.296.8
Auto20.4
Teleop62.0
End13.3
Second
148
#5
79.11.2
74.075.3
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
red by 23.7
1710
#58
55.41.6
53.555.1
Auto13.2
Teleop36.6
End5.5
Third
3044
#19
64.81.2
64.265.4
Auto13.1
Teleop43.9
End7.8
red by 13.4
2429
#64
51.41.6
53.555.1
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned