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Red178
553563.1
908537.3
584351.3
Blue154
673834.4
741533.7
756551.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16811350100150200250178154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points37
33Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +27
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points70
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
24Processor points12
24Net points20
48Algae points32
129Total teleop102
Reef
12L4#9
8L3#6
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points6
178Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5535
#27
63.12.2
60.162.3
Auto5.8
Teleop46.8
End10.5
red by 12.1
7565
#65
51.02.5
47.650.1
Auto6.9
Teleop36.7
End7.4
Second
5843
#41
51.32.2
50.752.9
Auto12.2
Teleop33.1
End6.0
red by 16.9
6738
#59
34.42.5
33.035.5
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
Third
9085
#69
37.32.2
34.636.8
Auto7.7
Teleop24.7
End4.9
red by 3.6
7415
#63
33.72.5
29.632.1
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed