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Red183
741533.7
300839.3
632871.0
Blue243
263532.2
907270.0
14879.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15419850100250183243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+46
Endgame+66
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
29Coral scored#34
106Coral points124
2Processor algae#4
8Net algae#5
12Processor points24
32Net points20
44Algae points44
150Total teleop168
Reef
9L4#17
7L3#13
8L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
8Foul points2
183Total score243

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#47
71.01.6
70.071.6
Auto15.4
Teleop46.0
End9.6
blue by 8.1
148
#5
79.14.1
75.379.4
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
Second
3008
#51
39.31.6
37.739.3
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End4.9
blue by 30.6
70.04.1
64.668.7
Auto12.1
Teleop53.6
End4.3
Third
7415
#63
33.71.6
32.133.7
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End2.6
red by 1.5
2635
#61
32.24.1
28.032.2
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned