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Red166
222862.1
673834.4
514260.9
Blue163
182545.5
297475.0
666536.1
41%Model gave it59%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176188100150200250300166163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
24Coral scored#21
87Coral points77
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
111Total teleop107
Reef
11L4#11
5L3#8
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
166Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#40
62.10.3
62.062.3
Auto12.7
Teleop40.7
End8.7
blue by 12.9
2974
#49
75.00.5
77.877.3
Auto19.9
Teleop50.2
End5.0
Second
5142
#17
60.90.3
57.357.6
Auto11.8
Teleop39.9
End9.2
red by 15.4
1825
#60
45.50.5
42.542.0
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End5.6
Third
6738
#59
34.40.3
28.929.2
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
blue by 1.8
6665
#48
36.10.5
39.539.0
Auto5.7
Teleop23.6
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned