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Red171
34354.5
978722.9
14879.1
Blue138
1001447.6
490968.6
1007729.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189170100120140160180200220240260171138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
19Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +34
24Coral scored#23
86Coral points84
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
132Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#12
9L3#7
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
4Foul points2
171Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#5
79.10.4
72.972.5
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
red by 10.5
4909
#57
68.61.5
69.267.7
Auto17.3
Teleop40.6
End10.7
Second
343
#33
54.50.4
59.959.5
Auto11.1
Teleop36.0
End7.4
red by 6.9
47.61.5
48.246.7
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End5.9
Third
9787
#72
22.90.4
29.028.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.7
End3.4
blue by 6.5
29.51.5
29.628.1
Auto7.6
Teleop20.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned