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Red193
742673.1
182545.5
180765.4
Blue209
86882.4
753825.0
614773.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184197100150250300193209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points41
47Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +9
24Coral scored#19
88Coral points67
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#8
12Processor points30
20Net points32
32Algae points62
120Total teleop129
Reef
11L4#11
10L3#5
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
193Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.11.5
64.265.7
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
blue by 9.3
868
#11
82.42.4
82.685.0
Auto20.3
Teleop49.4
End12.7
Second
1807
#35
65.41.5
64.766.2
Auto15.5
Teleop45.3
End4.6
blue by 7.8
6147
#16
73.22.4
68.370.7
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7
Third
1825
#60
45.51.5
42.143.5
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End5.6
red by 20.5
7538
#56
25.02.4
21.523.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned