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Qual 872025 Newton Division
Red178
490968.6
182545.5
908537.3
Blue219
645960.7
502668.2
283272.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153212100200250300178219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+61
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
7Coral scored#9
35Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +54
19Coral scored#34
68Coral points122
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#4
12Processor points24
28Net points16
40Algae points40
108Total teleop162
Reef
13L4#13
4L3#14
7L2#10
2L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#51
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
178Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#57
68.62.2
67.7→70.0
Auto17.3
Teleop40.6
End10.7
blue by 3.8
2832
#2
72.41.7
66.4→68.1
Auto19.7
Teleop45.1
End7.7
Second
1825
#60
45.52.2
43.5→45.8
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End5.6
blue by 22.7
5026
#24
68.21.7
65.6→67.3
Auto19.7
Teleop40.6
End7.8
Third
9085
#69
37.32.2
30.5→32.8
Auto7.7
Teleop24.7
End4.9
blue by 23.3
6459
#22
60.71.7
58.4→60.1
Auto14.2
Teleop44.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsMissed