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Red86
999723.8
632443.8
23826.3
Blue144
234242.1
454633.4
568783.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11520105015025030035086144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+54
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
7Coral scored#9
34Coral points45
34Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +37
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points51
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
6Processor points24
8Net points12
14Algae points36
50Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#8
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
86Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#14
43.81.4
53.051.6
Auto12.0
Teleop28.0
End3.9
blue by 39.2
83.01.8
78.876.9
Auto23.6
Teleop52.8
End6.6
Second
238
#13
26.31.4
28.727.3
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
blue by 15.9
2342
#31
42.11.8
49.347.5
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End3.7
Third
9997
#20
23.82.3
16.614.3
Auto6.7
Teleop16.5
End0.3
blue by 9.6
4546
#25
33.41.8
35.033.2
Auto8.9
Teleop23.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed83%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsMissed