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Red170
632975.6
192240.1
15732.1
Blue129
346760.6
234242.1
841029.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152180050100200250300170129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
18Coral scored#19
65Coral points70
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
107Total teleop88
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#9
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#30
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
170Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.61.3
81.282.5
Auto20.9
Teleop45.5
End9.3
red by 15.1
60.62.8
65.963.1
Auto15.3
Teleop39.6
End5.6
Second
40.11.3
24.726.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.4
End3.4
blue by 2.0
2342
#31
42.12.8
47.544.7
Auto13.3
Teleop25.2
End3.7
Third
157
#18
32.11.3
33.434.7
Auto3.9
Teleop19.5
End8.8
red by 3.1
8410
#27
29.02.8
45.943.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed