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Red44
492516.9
790710.9
669023.5
Blue102
13363.6
731416.3
107127.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3810405015020044102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+44
Endgame+56
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points45
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
24Total teleop65
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
12Foul points14
44Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6690
#29
23.50.6
15.114.5
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End1.8
blue by 40.1
133
#3
63.60.2
51.952.1
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
Second
4925
#34
16.90.6
15.715.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End1.3
blue by 10.5
1071
#37
27.40.2
18.318.6
Auto4.0
Teleop20.3
End3.1
Third
7907
#40
10.90.6
10.29.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 5.5
7314
#31
16.30.2
14.314.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned