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Red167
172943.7
669023.5
13363.6
Blue93
124710.2
23829.7
208424.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1416405010020025016793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+54Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
22Coral scored#13
80Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
108Total teleop68
Reef
12L4#4
4L3#3
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#18
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
12Foul points12
167Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#3
63.61.7
54.155.8
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End10.0
red by 33.9
238
#28
29.70.5
23.123.6
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End1.9
Second
43.71.7
34.936.6
Auto7.5
Teleop28.8
End7.4
red by 19.4
2084
#17
24.30.5
20.621.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.6
End2.1
Third
6690
#29
23.51.7
24.225.9
Auto4.1
Teleop17.6
End1.8
red by 13.4
1247
#36
10.20.5
14.815.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed