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Red117
841035.7
454635.0
23829.7
Blue135
31939.1
636733.2
804648.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11915150100200117135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +17
18Coral scored#23
64Coral points83
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
92Total teleop109
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#6
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
117Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8410
#21
35.70.2
35.635.7
Auto5.9
Teleop23.6
End6.3
blue by 13.0
48.70.1
49.049.1
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.7
Second
4546
#14
35.00.2
34.935.0
Auto8.9
Teleop24.2
End2.0
blue by 4.0
319
#10
39.10.1
39.339.4
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End7.1
Third
238
#28
29.70.2
29.529.7
Auto3.7
Teleop24.1
End1.9
blue by 3.5
6367
#15
33.20.1
33.433.5
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End0.8