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Red177
50111.7
581373.0
346760.9
Blue92
841045.9
50946.3
804649.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16815810020025017792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.00.0
73.073.0
Auto16.4
Teleop48.3
End8.3
red by 23.9
8046
#18
49.20.0
49.249.2
Auto8.4
Teleop33.9
End6.9
Second
60.90.0
60.960.9
Auto13.0
Teleop38.1
End9.8
red by 14.6
509
#10
46.30.0
46.346.3
Auto3.0
Teleop35.2
End8.1
Third
501
#29
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 34.2
8410
#28
45.90.0
45.945.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5