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Red82
172131.5
23836.1
767431.5
Blue100
332321.0
731416.3
107351.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011105015020025030082100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#6
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8
blue by 14.9
1073
#14
51.00.0
51.051.0
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End10.7
Second
7674
#24
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End1.1
red by 10.5
3323
#25
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0
Third
1721
#13
31.50.0
31.531.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End6.9
red by 15.2
7314
#15
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto odds67%Auto odds
Coral
17%Coral odds18%Coral odds
Barge
35%Barge odds61%Barge odds