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Red159
50111.7
581373.0
346760.9
Blue119
332321.0
632462.2
31933.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178122050100150200250159119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.00.0
73.073.0
Auto16.4
Teleop48.3
End8.3
red by 10.9
62.20.0
62.262.2
Auto14.9
Teleop42.0
End5.3
Second
60.90.0
60.960.9
Auto13.0
Teleop38.1
End9.8
red by 27.3
319
#2
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto4.8
Teleop23.1
End5.7
Third
501
#29
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 9.3
3323
#25
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto4.5
Teleop13.5
End3.0