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Red179
50111.7
581373.0
346760.9
Blue116
105834.2
23836.1
234249.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178136050100150200250300179116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.00.0
73.073.0
Auto16.4
Teleop48.3
End8.3
red by 23.7
49.30.0
49.349.3
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
Second
60.90.0
60.960.9
Auto13.0
Teleop38.1
End9.8
red by 24.8
238
#6
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8
Third
501
#29
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 22.5
1058
#26
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.7
End5.0