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Red159
234249.3
23836.1
105834.2
Blue158
16662.0
172946.1
872425.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139144050100200250159158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.0
49.349.3
Auto14.3
Teleop30.1
End5.0
blue by 12.7
166
#11
62.00.0
62.062.0
Auto12.3
Teleop39.5
End10.3
Second
238
#6
36.10.0
36.136.1
Auto5.2
Teleop27.1
End3.8
blue by 10.0
46.10.0
46.146.1
Auto11.0
Teleop30.6
End4.4
Third
1058
#26
34.20.0
34.234.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.7
End5.0
red by 8.5
8724
#27
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.8
End1.8