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Red105
59629.9
111939.8
172935.5
Blue147
362323.3
15735.4
19079.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78163050100150200250105147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
13Coral scored#20
47Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
61Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#4
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
105Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.1
35.136.2
Auto8.0
Teleop25.7
End6.1
blue by 39.5
190
#1
79.30.2
81.081.2
Auto24.0
Teleop46.2
End9.1
Second
1729
#17
35.51.1
31.632.7
Auto12.1
Teleop21.8
End1.6
red by 0.1
157
#13
35.40.2
32.432.6
Auto2.0
Teleop26.2
End7.2
Third
5962
#19
9.91.1
10.711.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.1
blue by 13.4
23.30.2
19.519.7
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned