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Red147
226218.4
999727.3
176881.8
Blue157
346764.4
50113.3
192224.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12089050100150200147157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +30
16Coral scored#23
58Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
76Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#10
11L3#7
6L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points0
147Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.82.3
76.478.7
Auto23.6
Teleop47.1
End11.1
red by 17.4
64.44.9
55.160.1
Auto14.4
Teleop41.8
End8.2
Second
9997
#15
27.33.8
13.317.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 2.7
1922
#17
24.74.9
20.325.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Third
2262
#24
18.42.3
16.919.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End1.9
red by 5.0
501
#23
13.34.9
7.712.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned