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Red106
13155.6
362325.4
135022.4
Blue161
19067.6
130723.4
673132.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031420200300400106161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+35
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
17Coral scored#18
62Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
86Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#8
6L3#9
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
106Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#7
55.60.1
49.048.9
Auto11.0
Teleop40.3
End4.3
blue by 11.9
190
#2
67.62.1
66.568.6
Auto18.1
Teleop42.4
End7.1
Second
3623
#25
25.40.1
21.921.8
Auto4.8
Teleop18.3
End2.3
blue by 7.3
32.82.1
30.632.7
Auto9.5
Teleop18.7
End4.6
Third
1350
#18
22.40.1
24.924.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End2.3
blue by 1.0
1307
#16
23.42.1
21.223.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned