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Red75
999727.3
135022.4
287634.2
Blue34
81121.6
999312.7
23828.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787540506070901001107534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+35Teleop
+39Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
44Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
2Foul points0
75Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#19
34.20.7
37.536.8
Auto9.5
Teleop22.2
End2.3
red by 5.5
238
#31
28.72.8
34.131.3
Auto4.6
Teleop21.9
End2.1
Second
9997
#15
27.31.1
14.813.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End1.5
red by 5.7
811
#28
21.62.8
23.720.9
Auto4.5
Teleop15.8
End1.2
Third
1350
#18
22.40.7
28.327.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.4
End2.3
red by 9.7
9993
#22
12.74.6
14.810.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed