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Red139
8869.4
17240.0
19067.6
Blue78
999119.5
271340.1
226218.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22263010015020025030035013978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+47Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
19Coral scored#15
69Coral points53
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
107Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
139Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#10
69.43.1
69.466.3
Auto14.8
Teleop44.8
End9.8
red by 29.3
2713
#27
40.10.2
45.745.9
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End4.8
Second
190
#2
67.63.1
70.367.2
Auto18.1
Teleop42.4
End7.1
red by 48.0
9991
#26
19.50.4
11.011.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End1.2
Third
172
#5
40.03.1
46.543.3
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End6.2
red by 21.6
2262
#24
18.40.2
18.018.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed