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Red15
669014.6
49876.6
15129.3
Blue30
81111.8
620130.2
66209.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550204060801530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points7
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
0Total teleop15
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
2Foul points0
15Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6690
#31
14.61.9
14.312.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End1.6
blue by 15.7
30.21.6
25.223.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Second
1512
#24
9.31.9
10.18.2
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End3.5
blue by 2.5
811
#26
11.81.3
8.97.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Third
4987
#35
6.61.9
6.84.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
blue by 3.0
6620
#23
9.61.6
11.610.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed