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Red119
346769.0
972910.6
1015611.5
Blue77
620130.2
669014.6
172113.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11057010015011977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+36Teleop
+24Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points13
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
18Coral scored#9
64Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
82Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
18Foul points0
119Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.00.4
65.966.3
Auto16.8
Teleop47.0
End5.1
red by 38.7
30.21.2
29.530.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Second
11.50.4
11.111.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
blue by 3.1
6690
#31
14.61.2
11.412.6
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Third
9729
#34
10.60.4
10.210.6
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 2.4
1721
#19
13.01.1
11.312.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned