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Red70
17614.7
490955.3
596215.6
Blue54
492517.9
15129.3
105835.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826520401001201407054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+18Teleop
+10Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
3Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points25
23Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +20
5Coral scored#3
19Coral points11
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
35Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points0
70Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.30.9
54.653.7
Auto13.9
Teleop36.6
End4.8
red by 20.3
35.00.7
36.235.6
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End5.6
Second
5962
#14
15.61.0
17.416.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
blue by 2.3
4925
#13
17.90.7
19.418.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
1761
#36
4.71.0
5.84.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 4.5
1512
#24
9.30.7
8.47.6
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned