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Red127
176841.6
172113.0
964438.9
Blue90
620130.2
362316.7
66332.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018840608012014016012790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+27Teleop
+17Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +31
17Coral scored#9
62Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
84Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +37
30Foul points10
127Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#10
41.60.1
41.040.9
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
red by 9.4
663
#12
32.20.0
32.732.7
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
38.90.1
38.338.3
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
red by 8.7
30.20.0
30.730.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Third
1721
#19
13.00.1
12.412.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 3.7
3623
#28
16.70.0
17.217.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.8
End2.4