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Red54
31930.0
596215.6
492517.9
Blue97
620130.2
362316.7
66332.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72930204060801001201401605497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+11
Endgame+23
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +2
7Coral scored#8
26Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
40Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +43
6Foul points26
54Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#25
30.00.4
30.430.0
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
blue by 2.2
663
#12
32.20.2
32.732.4
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
4925
#13
17.90.4
18.317.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
blue by 12.3
30.20.2
30.730.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Third
5962
#14
15.60.4
16.015.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
blue by 1.1
3623
#28
16.70.2
17.217.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.8
End2.4