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Red102
108951.6
5630.1
363736.3
Blue132
255437.4
10228.5
589577.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127174050100150200250102132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
72Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#10
5L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points2
102Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#11
51.61.5
49.948.4
Auto15.1
Teleop32.2
End4.3
blue by 25.4
77.01.7
80.078.3
Auto21.4
Teleop46.4
End9.2
Second
36.31.5
38.236.7
Auto7.6
Teleop21.1
End7.6
blue by 1.1
2554
#24
37.41.7
39.137.4
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End2.4
Third
56
#27
30.11.5
31.730.1
Auto6.4
Teleop22.6
End1.1
red by 1.6
102
#15
28.51.7
30.628.9
Auto8.6
Teleop18.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned