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Red223
249528.7
34180.7
694104.7
Blue171
159933.2
901554.4
260768.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24016050100200300223171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+42Teleop
+40Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points21
41Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
28Coral scored#19
102Coral points67
5Processor algae#5
6Net algae#7
30Processor points30
24Net points28
54Algae points58
156Total teleop125
Reef
13L4#8
9L3#7
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#2
47Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +52
12Foul points0
223Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
104.70.2
104.9104.7
Auto26.9
Teleop63.9
End13.9
red by 36.2
2607
#10
68.50.2
68.368.5
Auto18.0
Teleop42.1
End8.4
Second
341
#2
80.70.2
80.980.7
Auto12.9
Teleop58.1
End9.7
red by 26.3
54.40.2
54.254.4
Auto15.3
Teleop37.0
End2.1
Third
2495
#17
28.70.2
28.928.7
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End1.3
blue by 4.5
1599
#18
33.20.2
33.033.2
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1