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Red239
249528.7
34180.7
694104.7
Blue171
121867.0
1058423.6
192366.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238169100150200250300239171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+54Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points38
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +57
34Coral scored#21
121Coral points74
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#7
24Processor points6
20Net points28
44Algae points34
165Total teleop108
Reef
14L4#10
8L3#9
11L2#5
9L1 · trough#5
51Game pieces#37
BargeRed +14
30Cage & park16
30Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
239Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
104.70.5
104.1104.6
Auto26.9
Teleop63.9
End13.9
red by 37.7
1218
#11
67.00.2
66.766.9
Auto19.3
Teleop38.8
End9.0
Second
341
#2
80.70.5
80.180.6
Auto12.9
Teleop58.1
End9.7
red by 14.7
66.00.2
65.765.9
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End2.7
Third
2495
#17
28.70.5
28.128.6
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End1.3
red by 5.1
23.60.2
23.323.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.8