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Red160
121867.0
1058423.6
192366.0
Blue191
159933.2
901554.4
260768.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17316150100200250160191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points34
43Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +29
21Coral scored#30
75Coral points108
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
103Total teleop132
Reef
13L4#16
6L3#7
5L2#9
4L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
160Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#11
67.00.1
66.967.0
Auto19.3
Teleop38.8
End9.0
blue by 1.5
2607
#10
68.50.9
66.567.4
Auto18.0
Teleop42.1
End8.4
Second
66.00.1
65.966.0
Auto18.9
Teleop44.4
End2.7
red by 11.6
54.40.9
52.453.3
Auto15.3
Teleop37.0
End2.1
Third
23.60.1
23.623.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.7
End2.8
blue by 9.6
1599
#18
33.20.9
31.232.1
Auto6.0
Teleop20.1
End7.1