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Red105
334017.4
10342.8
901540.1
Blue143
851344.9
43016.0
1153.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061216080140160180105143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+18
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave9
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points25
16Total auto34
Teleoperatedlevel
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
83Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
105Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#4
42.80.1
41.942.0
Auto5.6
Teleop34.4
End2.8
blue by 10.8
11
#1
53.60.7
52.352.9
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
40.10.1
39.239.3
Auto9.9
Teleop28.8
End1.4
blue by 4.8
44.90.7
43.644.2
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
Third
3340
#20
17.40.1
16.516.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
red by 1.4
430
#29
16.00.7
14.615.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3