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Qual 332025 FMA District Mount Olive Event
Red59
363732.6
851344.9
465219.1
Blue97
1153.6
19325.4
100699.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82750501001502005997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+26
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points11
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points49
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
0Processor points0
12Net points12
12Algae points12
42Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
59Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#2
44.91.7
27.3→25.6
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
blue by 8.7
11
#1
53.63.0
39.3→42.3
Auto10.1
Teleop35.3
End8.3
Second
3637
#12
32.61.7
29.1→27.4
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
red by 7.2
193
#27
25.43.0
17.2→20.3
Auto3.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
Third
4652
#28
19.11.7
17.5→15.9
Auto3.2
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
red by 9.8
10069
#34
9.33.0
13.2→16.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned