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Red40
60169.4
43016.0
55532.6
Blue104
599225.4
457318.4
851344.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46750206010012014040104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+56
Endgame+52
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +49
3Coral scored#14
10Coral points51
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
18Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#5
0L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points12
40Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#9
32.60.6
28.227.6
Auto8.9
Teleop20.3
End3.4
blue by 12.3
44.92.5
32.535.0
Auto9.3
Teleop29.8
End5.8
Second
430
#29
16.00.6
10.610.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End1.3
blue by 9.5
5992
#21
25.42.7
17.520.2
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
Third
6016
#30
9.40.6
7.06.4
Auto0.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 9.0
4573
#26
18.42.7
15.818.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed