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Red127
22237.1
858818.3
314245.9
Blue75
363732.6
436119.4
599225.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11685406010014016012775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+50Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points10
22Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +41
18Coral scored#7
65Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
89Total teleop48
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
127Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.5
44.945.3
Auto9.4
Teleop31.9
End4.6
red by 13.3
3637
#12
32.60.2
32.031.8
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Second
222
#18
37.10.5
36.136.6
Auto4.3
Teleop25.8
End6.9
red by 11.6
5992
#21
25.40.2
24.824.6
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
Third
8588
#25
18.30.5
17.317.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 1.1
19.40.2
18.818.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End5.9