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Red82
811725.1
162619.0
21925.2
Blue96
363732.6
436119.4
599225.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849440601001201408296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+16
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
61Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +14
2Foul points0
82Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#16
25.20.1
25.125.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End5.1
blue by 7.4
3637
#12
32.60.3
31.832.1
Auto4.9
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Second
8117
#13
25.10.1
24.925.1
Auto4.2
Teleop19.9
End1.0
blue by 0.4
5992
#21
25.40.3
24.624.9
Auto3.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
Third
1626
#32
19.00.1
18.919.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.6
blue by 0.4
19.40.3
18.618.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End5.9