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Red121
331451.7
167645.3
8718.8
Blue131
259052.2
562411.6
192357.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127126100110120140150160170121131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points33
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +19
14Coral scored#20
52Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
72Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#12
7L3#5
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
121Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.70.1
51.651.7
Auto13.3
Teleop30.7
End7.8
blue by 5.4
57.10.2
56.957.1
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
Second
45.30.1
45.145.3
Auto11.7
Teleop30.0
End3.6
blue by 7.0
52.20.2
52.052.2
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
Third
87
#22
18.80.1
18.718.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.8
End2.7
red by 7.2
5624
#17
11.60.2
11.311.6
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5