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Red89
911617.8
20422.0
22333.5
Blue34
219113.5
8718.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734002060801001201408934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+45Teleop
+53Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
14Coral scored#4
49Coral points13
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
67Total teleop19
Reef
7L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
2Foul points0
89Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#6
33.51.5
26.227.7
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
red by 14.7
87
#22
18.80.4
15.815.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Second
204
#8
22.01.5
18.019.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End6.1
red by 8.5
2191
#24
13.50.7
15.815.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Third
9116
#21
17.82.5
20.322.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End1.2
red by 12.6
5.20.4
8.48.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed