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Red42
219113.5
562411.6
871411.8
Blue72
566617.9
10222.4
2521.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307602040601001201404272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+14
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
29Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points16
42Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2191
#24
13.50.1
12.712.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.7
blue by 8.9
102
#13
22.41.7
22.921.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End1.1
Second
8714
#20
11.80.1
13.213.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.8
blue by 9.7
25
#15
21.61.7
21.119.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
5624
#17
11.60.1
3.03.1
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 6.3
5666
#11
17.91.7
16.715.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed