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Red73
543812.0
22333.5
8718.8
Blue120
568423.4
167645.3
29326.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5893020408010012014016073120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+21
Endgame+29
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
55Total teleop62
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points18
73Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#6
33.50.4
31.231.6
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
blue by 11.7
45.31.4
39.941.3
Auto11.7
Teleop30.0
End3.6
Second
87
#22
18.80.4
13.914.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.8
End2.7
blue by 7.9
293
#7
26.71.4
22.023.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End2.9
Third
5438
#18
12.00.6
13.914.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End1.5
blue by 11.4
5684
#10
23.40.9
19.119.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned