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Red152
259052.2
562411.6
192357.1
Blue130
22333.5
910016.3
83443.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13194406080120140160180200152130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points18
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +15
17Coral scored#13
62Coral points47
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#4
12Processor points24
28Net points16
40Algae points40
102Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#6
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
152Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.6
55.956.6
Auto18.4
Teleop38.6
End0.2
red by 13.9
834
#4
43.20.9
42.343.2
Auto11.4
Teleop23.9
End8.0
Second
52.20.6
51.151.7
Auto12.0
Teleop31.8
End8.4
red by 18.7
223
#6
33.50.9
32.633.5
Auto5.8
Teleop24.2
End3.5
Third
5624
#17
11.60.6
10.411.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
blue by 4.7
9100
#25
16.30.9
15.416.3
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End2.8