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Red104
858819.7
30327.4
31654.9
Blue54
811724.8
704523.9
87714.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1406405010020025010454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+48Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave3
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points23
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
68Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
104Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#3
54.90.7
54.754.0
Auto15.7
Teleop34.5
End4.7
red by 30.1
24.80.6
27.026.3
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
Second
303
#5
27.40.7
32.631.9
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
red by 3.5
23.90.6
29.228.6
Auto6.5
Teleop15.0
End2.4
Third
8588
#20
19.70.7
27.026.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End0.9
red by 15.7
8771
#22
4.00.6
7.26.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed