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Red82
87146.6
758728.3
162960.3
Blue106
30327.4
863018.3
55540.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115115859510010511012082106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points18
24Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +5
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
54Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points6
82Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.31.1
59.558.4
Auto17.3
Teleop39.8
End3.2
red by 19.9
555
#17
40.40.1
48.748.6
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End6.2
Second
7587
#15
28.31.1
28.427.3
Auto1.2
Teleop24.5
End2.7
red by 0.9
303
#5
27.40.1
30.830.7
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Third
8714
#24
6.61.1
10.09.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 11.7
8630
#23
18.30.1
21.921.8
Auto8.0
Teleop9.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned