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Red100
758728.3
255915.4
Blue81
691143.5
30327.4
87714.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4585010015010081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
50Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +19
22Foul points0
100Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7587
#15
28.30.7
27.428.1
Auto1.2
Teleop24.5
End2.7
blue by 15.1
6911
#16
43.50.1
43.343.5
Auto2.3
Teleop36.3
End4.8
Second
2559
#13
15.40.7
14.515.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End5.4
blue by 12.1
303
#5
27.40.1
27.327.4
Auto5.2
Teleop20.9
End1.3
Third
7.10.7
6.26.8
Auto1.6
Teleop4.0
End1.4
red by 3.0
8771
#22
4.00.1
3.94.0
Auto2.5
Teleop0.8
End0.8