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Red182
314251.9
87146.6
162960.3
Blue95
127932.4
811724.8
689710.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1376205010015020018295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+37Teleop
+45Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
21Coral scored#17
75Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
89Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#5
10L3#6
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +87
42Foul points0
182Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.30.6
58.058.5
Auto17.3
Teleop39.8
End3.2
red by 27.9
1279
#10
32.40.6
31.331.9
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End2.0
Second
51.90.6
49.650.1
Auto9.9
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 27.1
24.80.6
23.724.3
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
Third
8714
#24
6.60.6
4.34.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End1.6
blue by 4.0
6897
#18
10.60.6
9.510.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7