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Red91
457319.6
601612.5
140341.5
Blue65
704525.4
531013.3
219121.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574320801009165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+36Teleop
+32Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
12Coral scored#7
43Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
53Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points12
91Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.9
25.427.3
Auto11.6
Teleop27.7
End2.2
red by 16.1
25.40.6
16.016.6
Auto6.2
Teleop16.6
End2.6
Second
4573
#18
19.61.9
18.420.3
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End1.5
blue by 1.5
2191
#32
21.10.6
13.514.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
Third
6016
#24
12.51.9
9.411.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End2.1
blue by 0.8
5310
#23
13.30.6
11.412.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed