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Red110
245817.1
7547.3
94398.3
Blue44
573213.8
942420.6
711021.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77550204010012014016011044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
50Total teleop25
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
24Foul points4
110Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#2
47.31.0
40.641.7
Auto14.8
Teleop26.5
End6.0
red by 26.1
7110
#25
21.11.1
16.415.3
Auto3.6
Teleop15.4
End2.2
Second
2458
#19
17.11.0
19.420.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 3.4
9424
#17
20.61.1
20.919.7
Auto5.3
Teleop14.0
End1.3
Third
9439
#20
8.31.0
4.65.7
Auto5.7
Teleop2.4
End0.2
blue by 5.5
5732
#27
13.81.1
14.413.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed